Archive for April 2010

Dr Pokrovsky Replies

April 27, 2010

Dr Oleg Pokrovsky has kindly taken the time to provide further information on his recent remarks, which have been widely quoted. We thank him for doing so. He writes as follows and includes a link to a ppt. presentation (see below):

Dear Colleagues,

Thank you for discussion of my conclusions presented at recent IPY conference
occurred in AARI (St.Petersburg, Russia).
My vision of future climate is based on comprehensive analysis of climate index series analysis, which permits to reveal fundamental quasi-periodical oscillations in most components of climate system:
-Solar activity
-SST of ocean (AMO and PDO)
-Surface air temperature
– Surface irradiance
-Precipitations
-Ice extent in Russian Arctic Seas
I found that that those are in strong coherence when inter-annual climate noise was removed in each of them
My motivation might be illustrated by a set of figures presented at recent Arctic Frontiers Conference (Tromso, Norway)
http://www.arctic-frontiers.com/index.php?option=com_docman&task=doc_download&gid=242&Itemid=155

Please keep your comments focused on the contents Dr Pokrovsky’s presentation.

Russia: No Climate Deal in 2010

April 26, 2010

A new international agreement to replace the Kyoto environmental protocol will not be signed in 2010, the Russian presidential advisor on climate change has said. Read more:

http://en.rian.ru/Environment/20100426/158743966.html

On April 16, Russian President Medvedev said:

All countries, including developed and developing economies, should reach an agreement, or, if we do not agree on this [the common terms of carbon emissions reduction], Russia will not prolong its participation in the Kyoto agreement – you cannot have it both ways.

http://en.beta.rian.ru/Environment/20100416/158607110.html

German Chancellor Gives Up On Binding Climate Treaty!

April 26, 2010

Merkel No Longer Backs World Climate Treaty

That’s the headline announcing a report in the upcoming issue of Der Spiegel. German Chancellor Angela Merkel is retreating from the objective of reducing global CO2 emissions through a binding global treaty. http://www.spiegel.de/spiegel/vorab/0,1518,691013,00.html

…Merkel wants to avoid another debacle for Germany and Europe in the UN climate negotiations.

According to Der Spiegel, the climate conference that began in Petersberg near Bonn on Sunday shifts the focus to climate protection measures that can lead to measurable results without a binding treaty.

Federal Minister of the Environment Norbert Röttgen of Merkel’s CDU party told SPIEGEL of the new approach:

It’s not about giving up on the 2°C target; rather it is about finding new ways to reach it. At Petersburg  we want to create a new level on which we not only want to reach CO2 targets from the top,  but also to start projects from the bottom that lead to measurable results.

This includes protection of forests and more concrete cooperation in the transfer of environmentally friendly technologies.

Make no mistake about it, without the cooperation of Germany any global binding treaty mandating CO2 reductions becomes extremely unlikely, and that sends a clear signal that global Cap & Trade is all but dead. The US Senate can (and should) now kill Cap & Trade for good.

H/t: Rudolf Kipp at http://www.science-skeptical.de/

UPDATE…read the entire Der Spiegel article here in English (h/t Brian H): http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,691194,00.html

Worse Than We Thought

April 25, 2010

Wow! Arctic sea ice is still at levels we had back in mid-February. It’s at the highest level for this date in nine years. http://www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/en/home/seaice_extent.htm

Normally there’s about a 1 million sq. km decrease from mid Feb to late April. This year – nada!

Shoot FromThe Hip – Shot From The Hip

April 25, 2010

A few days ago I wrote a post about how Reuters wasted no time blaming the outbreak of a fungus disease in the U.S. Northwest and British Columbia on climate change: https://pgosselin.wordpress.com/2010/04/23/were-to-blame/.

Of course this was just another example of wreckless media speculation and wishful thinking by those who simply can’t wait for the coming manmade climate catastrophe. They really are pretty desparate. The claim has already been completely debunked at World Climate Report: http://www.worldclimatereport.com/.

Russian Scientist: 4% More Antarctic Sea Ice – Ozone Hole Cooling Antarctica

April 24, 2010

The April 21, 2010 German edition of the Russian news website RIA Novosti has a piece with a possible explanantion as to why Antarctic sea ice is expanding while the rest of the globe is warming. http://de.rian.ru/science/20100421/126005955.html

A Russian scientist believes it is due to the ozone hole over the South Pole. According to Alexander Klepikov of the Research Instritute for Arctic and Antarctic at the Conference Maritime Research of Polar Regions of the Earth in the International Polar Year:

Over the last 3o years of satellite measurement, the growth of the ice amount in the Southern Ocean which surrounds Antarctica was more than 4 percent.

Klepikov emphasised that sea ice growth around the Antarctic coast was irregular and occurred at different areas. There was an especially large amount of sea ice growth in the Ross Sea located in the western part of the Pacific sector. Klepikov says British researchers, using mathematical models and analysis of meteorological data, could attribute the increasing sea ice trend to the so-called ozone anomaly in the South Pole region.

Reduced ozone concentrations over the South Pole leads to cooling of the upper atmosphere, and eventually leads to a strengthening of the circumpolar circular flow – winds that blow along the Antarctic coast and protect the Antarctic zone against the effects of warmer air. The same mechanism has the opposite effect on the Larsen Ice Shelf, causing increased melting.

Has Stalin Moved To The MSM?

April 24, 2010

Have you ever read something about yourself in the newspaper and thought: “Man, they got it wrong”?

Yesterday I summed up in English and posted a German-language piece put out directly by RIA Novosti (see post from yesterday) http://de.rian.ru/science/20100423/126040500.html.  Then a few hours later WUWT posted an English version of the same story released by the UPI. The two versions could hardly be different. It’s one thing to get some things wrong, but it’s quite another to write a whole new story.

1. The UPI opens with:

A Russian scientist says the Arctic may be getting colder, not warmer, which…

But the German version, direct from RIA Novosti, says:

Not warming, but cooling will impact the Earth’s climate over the next few years….

2. The UPI wrote:

An Arctic cold snap that began in 1998

But the German version says:

The climate has been cooling since 1998…  

When translating, you’ll rarely get it 100% right. Translators try to get as close as possible. But here there really is no excuse for screwing up cooling will impact the Earth’s climate and writing instead: Arctic may be getting colder.  In no. 2 they translate “climate to “Arctic“!

The UPI then leaves out (censors?) a large portion of the text as well. For an issue on which the future of humanity hinges, one that is as grave as WWII, the UPI translation sure was awfully careless. It gets a failing grade. Readers – check your sources!